Default estimation for low-default portfolios

Default estimation for low-default portfolios

by Nicholas M. Kiefer

Part of Economic and policy analysis working paper -- 2006-2

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"The problem in default probability estimation for low-default portfolios is that there is little relevant historical data information. No amount of data processing can fix this problem. More information is required. Incorporating expert opinion formally is an attractive option"--Office of the Comptroller of the Currency web site.

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