Loss given default of high loan-to-value residential mortgages

Loss given default of high loan-to-value residential mortgages

by Qi

Part of Economic and policy analysis working paper -- 2007-4

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"This paper studies residential mortgage loss given default using a large set of historical loan-level default and recovery data of high loan-to-value mortgages from several private mortgage insurance companies. We show that loss given default can largely be explained by various characteristics associated with the loan, the underlying property, and the default, foreclosure, and settlement process. We find that the current loan-to-value ratio is the single most important determinant. More importantly, mortgage loss severity in distressed housing markets is significantly higher than under normal housing market conditions. Our empirical results have important policy implications for risk-based capital"--Office of the Comptroller of the Currency web site.

Discussion questions for Loss given default of high loan-to-value residential mortgages

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  1. 1

    How does the author's analysis of high loan-to-value mortgages challenge or reinforce your understanding of the 2008 financial crisis and the housing market crashes that preceded it?

  2. 2

    In what ways does the heavy reliance on data and quantitative modeling in this book change how you view the deeply personal and emotional experience of homeownership and foreclosure?

  3. 3

    The study identifies the current loan-to-value ratio as the single most critical determinant of loss given default; how does this finding alter your perspective on personal financial risk and borrowing limits?

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