Business cycle fluctuations and excess sensitivity of private consumption

Business cycle fluctuations and excess sensitivity of private consumption

by Gert Peersman

Book 335 of Working paper --

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"We investigate whether business cycle uctuations affect the degree of excess sensitivity of private consumption growth to disposable income growth. Using multivariate state space methods and quarterly US data for the period 1965-2000 we nd that excess sensitivity is signi cantly higher during recessions."--Bank of England web site.

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