Robert B. Barsky

• The Information in the High Yield Bond Spread for the Business Cycle
• A monetary explanation of the great stagflation of the 1970s
• Bull and bear markets in the twentieth century
• Do we really know that oil caused the Great Stagflation?
• Forecasting pre-World War I inflation
• Oil and the macroeconomy since the 1970s
• Real wages over the business cycle
• The Japanese bubble
• The seasonal cycle and the business cycle
• Why does the stock market fluctuate?